Pasukan Tindak Cepat COVID-19 Kolej Imperial

Pasukan Tindak Cepat COVID-19 Kolej Imperial (Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team - ICCRT) ialah pasukan penasihat dan sains yang dibuat oleh Imperial College London untuk mempelajari penyakit koronavirus 2019 dan menasihati pemerintah United Kingdom.^[1] Laporan pertamanya diterbitkan pada 17 Januari 2020. Pasukan ini diketuai oleh Neil Ferguson.^[2]

Laporan

Nombor	Tarikh	Tajuk
16	2020-04-23	Role of testing in COVID-19 control
The report estimates COVID-19 testing's impact as reducing transmission by 25~33% from populations tested, but also allowing early release from quarantines and creation of Immunity passport based on antibody tests. Tests face technical, legal, and ethical challenges. Tests while helping are complementary to other more potent actions such as self-isolation when symptoms arises, contact tracing and quarantines.
15	2020-04-17	Strengthening hospital capacity for the COVID-19 pandemic
Reports presents the J-IDEA pandemic planner "a hospital planning tool to calculate how much capacity in terms of beds, staff and ventilators is obtained by implementing healthcare provision interventions affecting the management of patient care in hospitals".
14	2020-04-03	Online Community Involvement in COVID-19 Research & Outbreak Response: Early Insights from a UK Perspective
13	2020-03-30	Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries
12	2020-03-26	The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression
11	2020-03-24	Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment
10	2020-03-20	Public response to UK Government recommendations on COVID-19: population survey, 17-18 March 2020
9	2020-03-16	Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand
8	2020-03-11	Symptom progression of COVID-19
7	2020-03-09	Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flights
6	2020-02-21	Relative sensitivity of international surveillance
5	2020-02-15	Phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2
4	2020-02-10	Severity of 2019 novel coronavirus (nCoV)
3	2020-01-25	Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV
2	2020-01-22	Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in Wuhan City, China
1	2020-01-17	Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in Wuhan City, China

Anggaran

Anggaran untuk 11 negara Eropah setakat 28 Mac 2020

Jumlah populasi yang dijangkiti
		Ramalan ICCRT^[3]			Perhitungan WHO setakat 29 Mac
Negara	Penduduk^{[perlu rujukan]}	Dijangkiti (julat 95%)	Dijangkiti (rerata %)	Kess (ang.)	Kes	Dikesan (% pop.)
Austria	8,999,973	0.36%-3.1%	1.1%	99000	8291	0.09%
Belgium	11,579,502	1.3%-9.7%	3.7%	428400	9134	0.08%
Denmark	5,785,741	0.40%-3.1%	1.1%	63600	2201	0.04%
Perancis	65,227,357	1.1%-7.4%	3.0%	1956800	37145	0.06%
Jerman	83,792,987	0.28%-1.8%	0.72%	603300	52547	0.06%
Itali	60,496,082	3.2%-26%	9.8%	5928600	92472	0.15%
Norway	5,407,670	0.09%-1.2%	0.41%	22200	3845	0.07%
Sepanyol	46,767,543	3.7%-41%	15%	7015100	72248	0.15%
Sweden	10,081,948	0.85%-8.4%	3.1%	312500	3447	0.03%
Switzerland	8,637,694	1.3%-7.6%	3.2%	276400	13152	0.15%
United Kingdom	67,803,450	1.2%-5.4%	2.7%	1830700	17093	0.03%

Anggaran untuk dunia

Anggaran kesan strategi pengendalian selama 250 hari dengan 3 peristiwa berbeza.^[4]

	Peristiwa #1		Peristiwa #2		Peristiwa #3
	Jangkitan	Kematian	Jangkitan	Kematian	Jangkitan	Kematian
Asia Timur & Tenggara	2.117.131.000	15.303.000	92.544.000	442.000	632.619.000	3.315.000
Asia Selatan	1.737.766.000	7.687.000	111.703.000	475.000	629.164.000	2.693.000
Eropa & Asia Tengah	801.770.000	7.276.000	61.578.000	279.000	257.706.000	1.397.000
Amerika Utara	326.079.000	2.981.000	17.730.000	92.000	90.529.000	520.000
Amerika Selatan & Karibia	566.993.000	3.194.000	45.346.000	158.000	186.595.000	729.000
Timur Tengah & Afrika Utara	419.138.000	1.700.000	30.459.000	113.000	152.262.000	594.000
Afrika	1.044.858.000	2.483.000	110.164.000	298.000	454.968.000	1.204.000
Jumlah	7.013.734.000	40.624.000	469.523.000	1.858.000	2.403.843.000	10.452.000

Lihat juga

Neil Ferguson (ahli epidemiologi)

Rujukan

^ Landler, Mark; Castle, Stephen (2020-03-17). "Behind the Virus Report That Jarred the U.S. and the U.K. to Action". The New York Times (dalam bahasa Inggeris). ISSN 0362-4331. Dicapai pada 2020-03-30.
^ Adam, David (2020). "Special report: The simulations driving the world's response to COVID-19". Nature. 580 (7803): 316–318. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-01003-6. PMID 32242115.
^ Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team (2020-03-30). "Estimating the number of infections and the impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries" (PDF). m/s. 35.
^ "Report 12 - The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression". Imperial College London (dalam bahasa Inggeris). Dicapai pada 2020-04-04.

Pautan luar

COVID-19 Response Team Reports

[1] Landler, Mark; Castle, Stephen (2020-03-17). "Behind the Virus Report That Jarred the U.S. and the U.K. to Action". The New York Times (dalam bahasa Inggeris). ISSN 0362-4331. Dicapai pada 2020-03-30.

[nfn-2] Adam, David (2020). "Special report: The simulations driving the world's response to COVID-19". Nature. 580 (7803): 316–318. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-01003-6. PMID 32242115.

[:1-3] Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team (2020-03-30). "Estimating the number of infections and the impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries" (PDF). m/s. 35.

[4] "Report 12 - The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression". Imperial College London (dalam bahasa Inggeris). Dicapai pada 2020-04-04.

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